North Carolina President Polls 2024. If harris wins the state, she has a 96.7% chance of winning the election, according to political analyst nate silver’s voter power index, which found trump would. This chart shows how the polling margin in north carolina has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the biden vs.

North carolina was the closest republican state victory in 2012 and 2020 even though polling predicted a narrow win by democrat joe biden in the latter. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after robert f.